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Sunday, Jun 15, 2025

Australia's AUKUS Deal Under Review as Trump Administration Assesses Security Alignment

Concerns grow over the future of the AUKUS agreement amid increasing pressure for enhanced Australian defence spending.
Australia's Defence Minister Richard Marles has sought to downplay concerns regarding the United States government's decision to review the AUKUS defence agreement.

This review aims to evaluate the security pact's compatibility with Donald Trump's "America First" policy and is being led by Elbridge Colby, who has expressed skepticism about AUKUS in the past.

The Pentagon's review comes as US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth reiterated calls for Australia to significantly increase its defence spending.

However, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has dismissed these suggestions, insisting the Australian government will determine its own defence policy.

He reaffirmed Australia's commitment to the AUKUS agreement, which facilitates the acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines from the US.

The AUKUS pact, valued at approximately $368 billion, includes plans for Australia to obtain three Virginia-class submarines by 2032 and ultimately develop its own fleet.

This agreement is set to remain in effect until 2075, with provisions for termination allowing any party to withdraw with one year's notice.

The review by the US comes amidst a backdrop of concerns about its submarine production capabilities, which have lagged behind schedule, and the potential implications for Australia's access to the submarines.

Marles expressed confidence that the AUKUS agreement would be upheld despite the review, framing it as a standard procedure for any incoming administration.

He noted that similar reviews have been undertaken by both Australia and the UK in the past and emphasizing that the review should not be interpreted as a precursor to changes in the agreement.

The scrutiny around AUKUS has emboldened critics, including former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, who called for a comprehensive reassessment by Australia.

Turnbull cautioned that the agreement may not yield the submarines Australia expects.

Greens senator David Shoebridge has echoed these concerns, urging for an inquiry into the deal, which he argues could be detrimental to Australia’s defence autonomy.

Further complicating the situation are recent sanctions imposed by Australia on two Israeli ministers, which have reportedly frustrated the Trump administration.

Critics assert that these actions, coupled with Australia's reluctance to significantly increase defence spending, could have influenced the US decision to review the AUKUS agreement.

In response to these mounting pressures, the Coalition's defence spokesperson, Angus Taylor, has spotlighted the need for clarity about the implications of the review for Australia's defence strategy and resources, stressing the potential risks if AUKUS does not proceed as planned.

As Prime Minister Albanese prepares for a significant meeting with President Trump at the upcoming G7 summit in Canada, the efficacy of AUKUS and the broader strategic relationship between Australia and the United States remains under scrutiny.

As the geopolitical landscape evolves, the debate over Australia’s defence policy and commitment to its allies continues to intensify.
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