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Sunday, Feb 01, 2026

Debate Sharpens Over Australia’s Strategic Place in a China-Dominated Indo-Pacific

Debate Sharpens Over Australia’s Strategic Place in a China-Dominated Indo-Pacific

Commentators challenge critics of the US alliance to explain how Australia would secure its future amid China’s growing regional influence
Australia’s strategic alignment is facing renewed scrutiny as critics of the country’s close relationship with the United States are being pressed to explain what viable alternative they offer in an Indo-Pacific region increasingly shaped by China’s power.

As Beijing expands its economic reach, diplomatic footprint and military capability across Asia and the Pacific, analysts argue that questioning Australia’s reliance on Washington requires a clear and credible vision of how Canberra would otherwise safeguard its security, prosperity and sovereignty.

The debate has intensified as China consolidates its position as the dominant trading partner for many regional states and deepens its engagement through infrastructure, development finance and political influence.

For Australia, whose economy is closely tied to China while its security remains anchored to the United States, this dual reality has sharpened long-standing tensions in foreign policy thinking.

Those urging greater strategic distance from Washington have been challenged to articulate how Australia would deter coercion, protect sea lanes, and maintain regional stability without the backing of its principal security ally.

Recent public discussion has also been shaped by polling and strategic assessments suggesting Australians are increasingly conscious of the risk of being drawn into rivalry between major powers.

At the same time, defence and foreign policy officials have reiterated that alliances are not merely symbolic but provide practical capabilities, intelligence sharing and deterrence that Australia cannot replicate alone.

They argue that the US presence continues to underpin the regional balance, even as China’s influence grows.

Successive Australian governments have sought to navigate this landscape through a strategy that combines strong alliances with diversified regional engagement, including deeper ties with Southeast Asia, the Pacific Islands, Japan and India.

This approach reflects an effort to avoid binary choices while recognising the realities of power in the region.

Critics, however, contend that without a clearly defined alternative framework, calls to weaken the US alliance risk leaving Australia exposed in a strategic environment where China’s dominance is becoming harder to ignore.

As the Indo-Pacific continues to evolve, the debate over Australia’s place within it has become a defining question of national policy, forcing advocates on all sides to confront the practical consequences of their strategic preferences.
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