One Nation’s Support Surges in Australian Polls Following Bondi Beach Tragedy
Pauline Hanson’s nationalist party climbs to unprecedented levels in major surveys as public concern over security and immigration sharpens after the Bondi massacre
Recent opinion polling in Australia reveals a striking surge in support for One Nation, the nationalist political party led by Pauline Hanson, positioning it at historic heights following the Bondi Beach massacre in December.
Polls conducted in the aftermath of the attack — in which 15 people were killed at a Jewish community event — show One Nation significantly increasing its share of primary vote intentions, at times tying or overtaking the centre-right Coalition and challenging the major parties on a scale not previously seen.
The DemosAU survey published early this year indicated that One Nation had climbed to around twenty-three per cent of primary support, matching the Coalition’s numbers as both major parties saw their shares fall.
Earlier Roy Morgan polling has also placed One Nation above Labor in the populous state of New South Wales, with around thirty per cent support compared to Labor’s twenty-five per cent in state voting intention figures.
Analysts attribute the shift in part to heightened public concern over national security, immigration policy and community cohesion following the Bondi tragedy, which has kept issues of security, immigration and multiculturalism at the forefront of political discourse.
One Nation’s anti-immigration platform and critical stance on existing government policies have resonated with segments of the electorate disaffected with the traditional duopoly of the Labor and Liberal–National parties.
Polling also points to votes flowing to One Nation from both the Coalition and Labor bases, reflecting broader voter volatility and rising scepticism about the major parties’ approaches to contemporary challenges including crime, cost-of-living pressures and border control.
This surge has reshaped the political landscape ahead of upcoming state and federal contests, introducing fresh uncertainties about party standings and potential coalitions.
While some pollsters caution that support levels could shift as the electoral agenda evolves, the current data mark the strongest showing for One Nation in its history and underline the potency of its message among a significant portion of the Australian electorate in the wake of national tragedy.
Polls conducted in the aftermath of the attack — in which 15 people were killed at a Jewish community event — show One Nation significantly increasing its share of primary vote intentions, at times tying or overtaking the centre-right Coalition and challenging the major parties on a scale not previously seen.
The DemosAU survey published early this year indicated that One Nation had climbed to around twenty-three per cent of primary support, matching the Coalition’s numbers as both major parties saw their shares fall.
Earlier Roy Morgan polling has also placed One Nation above Labor in the populous state of New South Wales, with around thirty per cent support compared to Labor’s twenty-five per cent in state voting intention figures.
Analysts attribute the shift in part to heightened public concern over national security, immigration policy and community cohesion following the Bondi tragedy, which has kept issues of security, immigration and multiculturalism at the forefront of political discourse.
One Nation’s anti-immigration platform and critical stance on existing government policies have resonated with segments of the electorate disaffected with the traditional duopoly of the Labor and Liberal–National parties.
Polling also points to votes flowing to One Nation from both the Coalition and Labor bases, reflecting broader voter volatility and rising scepticism about the major parties’ approaches to contemporary challenges including crime, cost-of-living pressures and border control.
This surge has reshaped the political landscape ahead of upcoming state and federal contests, introducing fresh uncertainties about party standings and potential coalitions.
While some pollsters caution that support levels could shift as the electoral agenda evolves, the current data mark the strongest showing for One Nation in its history and underline the potency of its message among a significant portion of the Australian electorate in the wake of national tragedy.
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