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Sunday, Jan 18, 2026

Australia’s Southern States Brace for Most Severe Heatwave Since ‘Black Summer’

Australia’s Southern States Brace for Most Severe Heatwave Since ‘Black Summer’

A sweeping band of extreme heat is forecast to push temperatures well above average, raising fire danger and health risks across much of southern Australia
Australia’s southern states are confronting an extraordinary heatwave expected to produce the most intense high temperatures since the catastrophic ‘Black Summer’ of 2019-20, meteorologists have warned.

A vast belt of severe heat is advancing from Western Australia through South Australia, Victoria, New South Wales, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory, with temperatures forecast to exceed normal levels by eight to sixteen degrees Celsius and inland maxima climbing into the mid-to-high forties.

This pattern has prompted heatwave warnings covering extensive parts of the country as the band of hot weather moves eastward.

The Bureau of Meteorology forecasts that by mid-week major population centres such as Adelaide and Melbourne will experience peak temperatures in the forties, with inland regions potentially reaching forty-six to forty-seven degrees Celsius.

Sydney is also expected to see sweltering conditions, with highs approaching thirty-nine degrees Celsius by Saturday as the heat persists.

The prolonged nature of the event — combining hot days with warm nights — raises acute concerns for public health, especially for older Australians, infants, children and pets, and places additional strain on emergency services.

The extreme conditions have significant implications for bushfire risk.

As hot temperatures intensify and winds strengthen later in the week, fire agencies have warned of high to extreme fire danger across South Australia and Victoria, where tinder-dry vegetation and strong winds could accelerate flame spread.

Communities in these regions are urged to prepare and heed local warnings, with authorities emphasising the importance of early mitigation and vigilance.

Meteorologists attribute the severity of the heatwave to a combination of atmospheric factors — including a monsoon trough in northern Queensland and a high-pressure system over the Tasman Sea — that have created a ‘blocking pattern’ channelling heat across the continent.

The ongoing intensity of heat events has coincided with Australia’s rising baseline temperatures, which are now around one and a half degrees Celsius higher than in the early twentieth century, amplifying the frequency and severity of extreme weather.

Public health officials and emergency services are reminding Australians to stay cool and hydrated, limit outdoor exposure during peak heat, and check on neighbours and vulnerable family members.

With the heatwave expected to unfold over several days, authorities continue to monitor conditions closely and update warnings to reflect evolving risks.
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