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Sunday, May 25, 2025

Viva Energy Faces Share Sell-Off Amid Disappointing 2025 Outlook

The Australian fuel retailer's unimpressive guidance has led to a significant drop in its stock value.
Viva Energy, the operator of the Shell-branded petrol station network in Australia, has experienced a steep decline in its share price after presenting a disappointing outlook for 2025. The company's CEO, Scott Wyatt, announced that the projected earnings did not align with analyst expectations, prompting significant investor concern.

This development has sparked debate about the future profitability of the company, particularly in the highly competitive fuel retail market.

Meanwhile, the parent company of EnergyAustralia, CLP Group, has signaled a preference to contract green energy rather than develop it directly.

CEO Chiang Tung Keung stated that EnergyAustralia must be self-funding in its transition to renewable energy sources.

This comes amid increasing scrutiny on energy providers to contribute to sustainability goals while managing financial viability.

In related news, a proposed $100 billion offshore wind rollout in Gippsland faces uncertainty due to ongoing disputes regarding port facility development.

Geelong Port CEO Brett Winter warned that the success of the offshore wind program hinges on resolving these issues promptly, which could delay critical renewable energy projects.

Santos, another player in the energy market, has called for government intervention to facilitate progress on the Narrabri gas project.

CEO Kevin Gallagher's appeal follows a directive from energy ministers for departmental officials to address gas supply deficiencies in southeastern Australia, a region currently experiencing increasing energy demand.

The oil and gas industry also faces its challenges, as Woodside experienced a decline in share value due to concerns over rising restoration costs and potential impacts on future dividends.

Analysts noted that the company's financial guidance did not meet expectations, leading to heightened market apprehension.

Infrastructure developments are also under review, with the EnergyConnect transmission line project experiencing a significant budget blowout, increasing costs by $1.5 billion.

This raises concerns among energy users about potential bill impacts stemming from the rising expenses associated with connecting renewable energy sources to the grid.

Frank Calabria, CEO of Origin Energy, highlighted the necessity for a focus on energy security as the company revised its profit expectations after a modest increase in first-half earnings.

This statement reflects a broader trend among energy companies amidst fluctuating market conditions and evolving regulatory landscapes.

AGL Energy, focusing on large battery storage projects, reported positive returns amid increasing energy price volatility.

The firm is set to ramp up a $1.5 billion investment plan over the next 18 months.

Similarly, Beach Energy's CEO Brett Woods is proactively seeking partnerships to expand its gas generation capabilities as the company navigates delays in the Waitsia gas project, which has raised questions about its operational outlook.

In a forecast on oil demand, Vitol indicated that consumption levels are expected to remain stable until at least 2040, a more optimistic assessment compared to projections made by the International Energy Agency.

Australia's energy export landscape continues to evolve, with the nation grappling with the implications of its thriving gas sector and the ripple effects of energy policy decisions that have led to challenges in domestic supply and pricing.

Statistics reveal that in the December quarter, coal power generated less than half of the National Electricity Market’s supply for the first time, as renewable sources, notably solar, achieved a record 46 percent contribution.

Such milestones signify a shift in Australia’s energy landscape toward greater diversification and reliance on renewable sources.

Disagreements between state and federal authorities have emerged, notably in Western Australia, where energy minister Reece Whitby has expressed that offshore wind developments may be more suitable for the state's western coast, highlighting the complexities of regional energy policies.
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